2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
846 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$824/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$173
Net cashflow
$8/mo
Annual
$96/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.35%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($96/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $82k (16.8% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $82k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#54 in IA, #1,282 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F.
Carroll Community School District (town): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #113 of 289 in IA (top 39%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (469 students, 42% FRL); Carroll Middle School (math 74% / reading 72%, grade A, #87 of 246 statewide, top 36%, 489 students, 39% FRL); Carroll High School (math 75% / reading 80%, grade A-, #56 of 336 statewide, top 17%, 544 students, 29% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 32 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $63k; list at $99k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Carroll — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0GH8DHCCH54NNR
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29