121 bd · 11.0 ba ·
5,903 sqft ·
Built 1850
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$45,329/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$16,781
Tax + insurance
−$2,311
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,519
Net cashflow
$16,718/mo
Annual
$200,617/yr
Cap rate
12.56%
Cash-on-cash
22.39%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$896,000
Investor read
This is a 11 × 11-bed/11.0-bath units multifamily listed at $3.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $17k ($201k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($45k rent vs $3.20M).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($3.01M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $3.01M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $22k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $96k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#34 in MA, #1,642 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Newburyport (suburban): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #77 of 302 in MA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $780k; list at $3.20M implies a 310% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $896k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 1.7% in Newburyport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $45,329/mo this rent would consume 390% of the median local household income ($140k/yr) (locally 405% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0H4AX03NCHYCR3
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29