3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,805/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$149
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$379
Net cashflow
$176/mo
Annual
$2,115/yr
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.60%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$58,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (14.0% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $180k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#799 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Wakulla (rural): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #18 of 73 in FL (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Wakulla County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $22k; list at $210k implies a 854% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 1.0% in Panacea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0H893TET4C3T3H
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29