525 Ranck Ave

Mason, TX 76856

$165,000D-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,850 sqft · Built 1960 · SingleFamily · Active · 428 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,106/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax + insurance: −$337
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$232
• Net cashflow: $-328/mo
• Annual: $-3,939/yr
• Cap rate: 3.91%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.53%
• DSCR: 0.62
• 1% rule: 0.67%
• Cash to close: $46,200

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-328 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (35.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (33.0% below list).
• It's been on market 428 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $107k (35.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#662 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Mason ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #76 of 826 in TX (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Mason El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 291 students, 50% FRL); Mason J H (math 52% / reading 62%, grade B, #212 of 1,662 statewide, top 13%, 204 students, 48% FRL); Mason H S (math 72% / reading 64%, grade B, #147 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 214 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Mason County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 428 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.