3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,052/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$325
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$403/mo
Annual
$4,836/yr
Cap rate
14.09%
Cash-on-cash
27.86%
DSCR
2.24
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$17,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $60k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $428 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#562 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
Manchester-Shortsville Central School District (Red Jacket) (rural): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #343 of 590 in NY (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0JAJQ77E5MBN11
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29