3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
844 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$-21/mo
Annual
$-251/yr
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.72%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-251/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (3.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (23.9% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in NE, #473 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D-.
Holdrege Public Schools (town): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #71 of 111 in NE (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Holdrege Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #200 of 502 statewide, top 46%, 358 students, 49% FRL); Holdrege Middle School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D+, #63 of 128 statewide, top 50%, 306 students, 39% FRL); Holdrege High School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C, #70 of 261 statewide, top 30%, 303 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 26% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9 units permitted in Phelps County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Phelps County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0JD1314GYD0890
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29