3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,154 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$983/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$430
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$161/mo
Annual
$1,926/yr
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.39%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$22,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($567 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#40 in KS, #3,169 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
North Ottawa County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 169 in KS (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Minneapolis Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #358 of 684 statewide, top 56%, 327 students, 51% FRL); Minneapolis Jr-Sr High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 302 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $14k; list at $82k implies a 482% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0JGE1PFND1BBYG
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29