3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,144 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,414/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$-783/mo
Annual
$-9,400/yr
Cap rate
2.87%
Cash-on-cash
-12.21%
DSCR
0.46
1% rule
0.51%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-783 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (41.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (48.6% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $141k (48.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#835 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Bushnell Elementary School (math 65% / reading 63%, grade B, #552 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 760 students, 61% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL).
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 4.1% in Bushnell — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0JV96160QTE9BW
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29