13 bd · 12.0 ba ·
5,950 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$22,764/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$15,674
Tax + insurance
−$2,494
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,780
Net cashflow
$-185/mo
Annual
$-2,216/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.26%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$836,889
Investor read
This is a 11×1bd/1ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $2.99M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-15/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.96M (1.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.28M (23.8% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($2.94M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.28M (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $21k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $90k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#388 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, employment D+.
Montebello Unified (suburban): math 17% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #419 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $508k; list at $2.99M implies a 489% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Bell Gardens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $22,764/mo this rent would consume 448% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 6155% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0JZV6VDQ4F7036
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29