4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,498 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Pending
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,348/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,753
Tax + insurance
−$297
HOA
−$55
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$493
Net cashflow
$-250/mo
Annual
$-3,003/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.21%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$93,617
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $334k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (29.8% below list).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($314k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $235k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 985 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Ormond Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0K8T7R4BV59RDM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29