5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
4,000 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 198 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,530/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$291
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$-131/mo
Annual
$-1,572/yr
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.81%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (11.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (23.5% below list).
It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $153k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#429 in PA, #3,920 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Indiana Area SD (town): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #96 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: East Pike El Sch (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #151 of 1,518 statewide, top 12%, 423 students, 50% FRL); Indiana Area Jhs (math 39% / reading 65%, grade C+, #103 of 512 statewide, top 21%, 667 students, 48% FRL); Indiana Area Shs (math 72% / reading 24%, grade D, #153 of 437 statewide, top 37%, 905 students, 40% FRL).
Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Indiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Indiana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $200k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Indiana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0KRRHW64P6VJG6
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29