2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,644 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$367
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$-433/mo
Annual
$-5,196/yr
Cap rate
4.69%
Cash-on-cash
-5.71%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-433 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (23.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (36.2% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#52 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime C-, commute F, cost of living F.
Thompson School District R-2J (suburban): math 28% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 86 in CO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Monroe Elementary School (math 15% / reading 17%, grade F, #781 of 966 statewide, top 82%, 258 students, 75% FRL); Mountain View High School (math 24% / reading 51%, grade F, #192 of 381 statewide, top 51%, 1,138 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 29% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.9% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0KTHNR82P7GCRG
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29