3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,465/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$64
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$700/mo
Annual
$8,400/yr
Cap rate
17.49%
Cash-on-cash
40.00%
DSCR
2.78
1% rule
1.95%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#200 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Vermilion Parish (town): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #15 of 98 in LA (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dozier Elementary School (math 45% / reading 67%, grade C+, #87 of 646 statewide, top 13%, 547 students, 54% FRL); Erath Middle School (math 47% / reading 70%, grade B, #13 of 218 statewide, top 6%, 545 students, 55% FRL); Erath High School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #13 of 265 statewide, top 5%, 531 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Vermilion Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 228 units permitted in Vermilion Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $55k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0KX7JA9JAGZHXM
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29