2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
684 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,518/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$256
Tax + insurance
−$48
HOA
−$625
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$270/mo
Annual
$3,240/yr
Cap rate
12.92%
Cash-on-cash
23.66%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
3.10%
Cash to close
$13,692
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $338 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Griswold School District (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #111 of 153 in CT (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Griswold Elementary School (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #376 of 553 statewide, top 68%, 691 students, 52% FRL); Griswold High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #107 of 194 statewide, top 56%, 533 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $33k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0MC3G120CSZZJB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29