4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 199 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,110/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$640
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$46/mo
Annual
$548/yr
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.60%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$34,160
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($548/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (9.0% below list).
It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($843 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#765 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
Renville County West School District (rural): math 26% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #255 of 301 in MN (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Renville County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Renville County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $122k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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