3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,558/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$195/mo
Annual
$2,338/yr
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.57%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#890 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime D.
Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely dated and worn
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Moderate: exterior siding
— weathered and in need of repainting
Major: flooring
— worn and uneven
Minor: interior walls
— peeling paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-0MWAZS89F8551P
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29