2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,334/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$439/mo
Annual
$5,268/yr
Cap rate
12.21%
Cash-on-cash
21.14%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#124 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lake Havasu Unified District (4368) (urban): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #66 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.0% in Lake Havasu City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: Roof
— General condition suggests potential issues
Major: Flooring
— Exposed subflooring and potential water damage
Major: Interior walls/paint
— Paint peeling and general wear
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— General condition suggests potential issues
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation and general lack of maintenance
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29