18 bd · 15.0 ba ·
10,331 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$46,162/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$13,871
Tax + insurance
−$2,997
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,694
Net cashflow
$19,600/mo
Annual
$235,205/yr
Cap rate
15.19%
Cash-on-cash
31.76%
DSCR
2.41
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$740,600
Investor read
This is a 15 × 19-bed/15.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.65M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $20k ($235k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($46k rent vs $2.65M).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.33M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.33M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $18k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $79k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#580 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities D.
Lennox (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #771 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 24 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $550k; list at $2.65M implies a 381% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $741k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $46,162/mo this rent would consume 864% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 1761% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-0N4QQ4008SZNQF
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29