2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
912 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,137/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$287/mo
Annual
$3,444/yr
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.47%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#297 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Lexington 04 (rural): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #70 of 80 in SC (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Swansea High (math 10% / reading 72%, grade F, #177 of 196 statewide, top 91%, 683 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 69% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 20% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lexington 04 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $85k implies a 415% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0NN15A40D2WRTQ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29