None bd · None ba ·
3,756 sqft ·
Built 2023
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 164 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$875
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,050
Net cashflow
$322/mo
Annual
$3,862/yr
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.63%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $525k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $80/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $500k (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $462k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#148 in TX, #4,155 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Mission CISD (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #775 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pearson El (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,180 of 4,322 statewide, top 97%, 373 students, 94% FRL); White J H (math 11% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,662 statewide, top 88%, 847 students, 90% FRL); Mission H S (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,348 of 1,632 statewide, top 83%, 2,218 students, 91% FRL).
Market conditions: 981 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 66% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.6% in Mission — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0NQJPA90ED3B4K
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29