2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 123 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,149/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$120
Tax + insurance
−$38
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$241
Net cashflow
$750/mo
Annual
$9,000/yr
Cap rate
45.77%
Cash-on-cash
140.98%
DSCR
7.27
1% rule
5.04%
Cash to close
$6,384
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $23k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $23k).
It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $20k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $158 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $684 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#306 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Madison Consolidated Schools (town): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #114 of 301 in IN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
17 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 45.8% vs local median 2.9% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: roof
— Significant wear
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet
Major: interior walls
— Painted walls with visible wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-0P2DHA10F6FPQZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29