1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,182 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,660/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,028
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$-25/mo
Annual
$-294/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.54%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$54,880
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $196k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-294/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (2.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (15.3% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in NC, #1,028 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Joyner Elementary (math 57% / reading 68%, grade B, #174 of 1,410 statewide, top 13%, 523 students, 28% FRL); Moore Square Middle (math 59% / reading 69%, grade B+, #33 of 475 statewide, top 7%, 585 students, 24% FRL); Needham Broughton High (math 29% / reading 67%, grade D, #329 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 2,128 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 141 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $196k implies a 880% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.7% in Raleigh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0P3CH4EMW23G95
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29