4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,577 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,258/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$264
Net cashflow
$31/mo
Annual
$378/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.96%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($378/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (10.1% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $126k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#55 in KS, #3,742 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Smoky Valley (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #58 of 169 in KS (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Smoky Valley Middle School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #64 of 219 statewide, top 32%, 246 students, 37% FRL); Smoky Valley High (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 253 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 19% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 102 units permitted in McPherson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McPherson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $140k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0PK3M63T3H1KFC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29