60 bd · 40.0 ba ·
12,502 sqft ·
Built 1976
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$39,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$19,901
Tax + insurance
−$3,300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$8,204
Net cashflow
$7,661/mo
Annual
$91,934/yr
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.65%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$1,062,600
Investor read
This is a 20 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $3.79M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($92k/yr) — positive. Per door: $383/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($39k rent vs $3.79M).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($3.57M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $3.57M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $26k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $114k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#661 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
San Bernardino City Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #959 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $1.39M; list at $3.79M implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.5% in San Bernardino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $39,066/mo this rent would consume 703% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3423% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-0Q44BNEEGMVR82
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29