8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,880 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Other
· Pending
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,811/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$444
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-53/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.10%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 8-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-53/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (0.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (4.2% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (4.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#143 in PA, #1,154 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
Sto-Rox SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #532 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sto-Rox Primary Ctr (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,295 of 1,518 statewide, top 86%, 328 students, 100% FRL); Sto-Rox Upper El Sch (math 3% / reading 20%, grade F, #492 of 512 statewide, top 96%, 218 students, 100% FRL); Sto-Rox Jshs (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #437 of 437 statewide, top 100%, 517 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 77% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $103k; list at $189k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 10.0% in McKees Rocks — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0Q487T4G26B5R3
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29