4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,516 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Other
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,734/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,832
Tax + insurance
−$460
HOA
−$73
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$784
Net cashflow
$-415/mo
Annual
$-4,985/yr
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.30%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$151,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $540k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-415 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $467k (13.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $373k (30.9% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($508k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $373k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Vallivue School District (rural): math 34% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #48 of 92 in ID (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Birch Elementary School (math 52% / reading 63%, grade C+, #87 of 357 statewide, top 24%, 662 students, 33% FRL); Ridgevue High School (math 27% / reading 67%, grade D-, #55 of 169 statewide, top 34%, 1,578 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.2% in Nampa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29