2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,258 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,040/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$218
Net cashflow
$546/mo
Annual
$6,546/yr
Cap rate
22.70%
Cash-on-cash
58.60%
DSCR
3.61
1% rule
2.61%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#508 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Russell County (rural): math 18% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #65 of 129 in AL (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mt Olive Primary School (392 students, 62% FRL); Russell County High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,014 students, 76% FRL).
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 22.7% vs local median 3.4% in Eufaula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— No visible roof structure
Major: exterior
— No visible siding or paint
Major: flooring
— No visible flooring
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible interior walls or paint
Major: bathrooms
— No visible bathrooms
Major: kitchen
— No visible kitchen
CashFlowRE · CFR-0QHCQH7986MH7C
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29