2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Manufactured
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,758/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$610
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$369
Net cashflow
$226/mo
Annual
$2,712/yr
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.11%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
2.20%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Northern Burlington County Regional School District (rural): math 27% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #198 of 472 in NJ (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Clarence B. Lamb Elementary School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #661 of 1,303 statewide, top 54%, 294 students, 32% FRL); Northern Burlington County Regional Middle School (math 27% / reading 56%, grade F, #182 of 431 statewide, top 43%, 703 students, 13% FRL); Northern Burlington County Regional High School (math 27% / reading 58%, grade F, #166 of 399 statewide, top 42%, 1,427 students, 13% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0R6YNV79J1SQGK
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29