3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,326/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$391/mo
Annual
$4,691/yr
Cap rate
11.23%
Cash-on-cash
17.64%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#16 in WV, #2,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Buffalo Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #49 of 377 statewide, top 16%, 407 students, 0% FRL); Buffalo Middle School (math 43% / reading 49%, grade D+, #8 of 109 statewide, top 6%, 252 students, 0% FRL); Spring Valley High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 910 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 6.5% in Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: paint
— extensive wear on interior walls
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom cabinets
— slight wear
Major: landscaping
— bare yard with no landscaping
CashFlowRE · CFR-0R945ZF5RFEZ7C
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29