8 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,376 sqft ·
Built 2019
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$29,204/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,364
Tax + insurance
−$1,812
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,133
Net cashflow
$12,895/mo
Annual
$154,738/yr
Cap rate
16.04%
Cash-on-cash
34.83%
DSCR
2.55
1% rule
1.83%
Cash to close
$446,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.59M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $13k ($155k/yr) — positive. Per door: $6k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($29k rent vs $1.59M).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.50M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.50M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $48k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#217 in NY, #3,399 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, commute B+; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
Greenport Union Free School District (town): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #450 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Greenport Elementary School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 339 students, 61% FRL); Greenport High School (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #934 of 1,100 statewide, top 86%, 356 students, 63% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $900k; list at $1.59M implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $447k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0S32SZ0J1B8QY3
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29