3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,820 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,114/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$-322/mo
Annual
$-3,858/yr
Cap rate
4.41%
Cash-on-cash
-6.72%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.54%
Cash to close
$57,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-322 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (27.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (45.6% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $111k (45.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#171 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Dekalb County (rural): math 18% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Crossville Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #442 of 627 statewide, top 72%, 578 students, 94% FRL); Crossville Middle School (math 8% / reading 20%, grade F, #209 of 257 statewide, top 82%, 790 students, 82% FRL); Crossville High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #238 of 305 statewide, top 79%, 657 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeKalb County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.9% in Crossville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0S9B9H8EMG7AC9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29