4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
989 sqft ·
Built 1891
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$698/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$147
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-401/yr
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.79%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-401/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $74k (7.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $70k (12.6% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Westview Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 398 students, 0% FRL); Ingersoll Middle School (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #405 of 665 statewide, top 61%, 645 students, 0% FRL); Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 7.9% in Canton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29