3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$930/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$377
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$195
Net cashflow
$238/mo
Annual
$2,860/yr
Cap rate
10.28%
Cash-on-cash
14.23%
DSCR
1.63
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$20,104
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($930 rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $496 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#191 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Jay School Corporation (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #175 of 301 in IN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: East Elementary School (412 students, 61% FRL); Jay County Jr/Sr High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #245 of 369 statewide, top 67%, 1,242 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Jay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jay County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.7% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0T1JY44E9FMXWV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29