2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
780 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,006/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$404/mo
Annual
$4,848/yr
Cap rate
14.37%
Cash-on-cash
28.86%
DSCR
2.28
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#111 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Winfield (rural): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #138 of 169 in KS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Winfield Middle School (math 16% / reading 29%, grade F, #130 of 219 statewide, top 61%, 499 students, 54% FRL); Winfield High (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 688 students, 49% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 41 units permitted in Cowley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cowley County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $60k implies a 287% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0T3GZ1ATBWW3X2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29