4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1929
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,444/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$138
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$903/mo
Annual
$10,839/yr
Cap rate
47.35%
Cash-on-cash
146.63%
DSCR
7.52
1% rule
5.47%
Cash to close
$7,392
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $26k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $903 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($183 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $26k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 47.3% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,444/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0T5RP92DGW2SNZ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29