3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
3,792 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$445/mo
Annual
$5,335/yr
Cap rate
11.63%
Cash-on-cash
19.07%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#141 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Twin Lakes School Corporation (town): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #116 of 301 in IN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Meadowlawn Elementary School (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #571 of 994 statewide, top 58%, 567 students, 56% FRL); Roosevelt Middle School (math 38% / reading 47%, grade D-, #98 of 330 statewide, top 30%, 523 students, 67% FRL); Twin Lakes Senior High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #123 of 369 statewide, top 36%, 674 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 41% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in White County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
White County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.4% in Monticello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0TG2GK2SMY3AKC
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29