328 W Progress Rd

Prentiss, MS 39474

$49,000D+

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,065 sqft · Built 2009 · SingleFamily · Pending · 48 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,810/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$257
• Tax + insurance: −$155
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$590
• Net cashflow: $1,807/mo
• Annual: $21,690/yr
• Cap rate: 50.56%
• Cash-on-cash: 158.09%
• DSCR: 8.03
• 1% rule: 5.73%
• Cash to close: $13,720

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $49k).
• It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $470 of equity ($339 loan paydown + $131 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#204 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, health & safety D, schools F.
• Jefferson Davis County School District (rural): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #104 of 130 in MS (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
• Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP.
• Jefferson Davis County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.