3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 171 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,093/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$-639/mo
Annual
$-7,667/yr
Cap rate
3.23%
Cash-on-cash
-10.96%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
0.44%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-639 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (45.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (56.3% below list).
It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (56.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#131 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
Putnam County (town): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #49 of 139 in TN (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 700 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Putnam County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $250k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 1.8% in Baxter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 56% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0TT1YT8VTM8VD3
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29