3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,350 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,426/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$-255/mo
Annual
$-3,064/yr
Cap rate
4.76%
Cash-on-cash
-5.47%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-255 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (18.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (28.7% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $143k (28.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#103 in MN, #2,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Hibbing Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #150 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C, #361 of 857 statewide, top 42%, 622 students, 52% FRL); Hibbing High (math 33% / reading 52%, grade F, #215 of 471 statewide, top 46%, 993 students, 37% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $160k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 6.9% in Hibbing — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0WTTGCC57D9E0A
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29