2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,392 sqft ·
Built 1912
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 538 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,121/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$591
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$-125/mo
Annual
$-1,498/yr
Cap rate
11.33%
Cash-on-cash
17.98%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $58k (27.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 538 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,565 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
Oil City Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #436 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hasson Heights Sch (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,094 of 1,518 statewide, top 73%, 385 students, 100% FRL); Oil City Area Ms (math 11% / reading 46%, grade F, #395 of 512 statewide, top 78%, 582 students, 100% FRL); Oil City Shs (math 47% / reading 24%, grade F, #305 of 437 statewide, top 70%, 603 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 52% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $43k; list at $80k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 538 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-0X1Z884QZFV2C6
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29