5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,892 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,120/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,282
Tax + insurance
−$408
HOA
−$33
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$445
Net cashflow
$-48/mo
Annual
$-576/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.84%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$68,460
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $244k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-576/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (2.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (13.3% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $68k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29