3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2016
· Manufactured
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,243/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$183
Tax + insurance
−$466
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$332/mo
Annual
$3,987/yr
Cap rate
32.38%
Cash-on-cash
93.18%
DSCR
5.15
1% rule
3.56%
Cash to close
$9,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#77 in PA, #558 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
Trinity Area SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #172 of 539 in PA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Trinity North El Sch (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 380 students, 64% FRL); Trinity Ms (math 24% / reading 59%, grade F, #234 of 512 statewide, top 47%, 738 students, 44% FRL); Trinity Shs (math 72% / reading 24%, grade D, #153 of 437 statewide, top 37%, 1,093 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 27% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 32.4% vs local median 3.3% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0XEW557XAQNW3Y
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29