3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,789 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,390/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$276
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$246/mo
Annual
$2,957/yr
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.61%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#294 in PA, #2,608 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
Leechburg Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #303 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: David Leech El Sch (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 300 students, 29% FRL); Leechburg Area Ms (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #328 of 512 statewide, top 65%, 152 students, 46% FRL); Leechburg Area Hs (math 64%, 186 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29