2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
863 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$975
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$425
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$430
Net cashflow
$-47/mo
Annual
$-566/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.09%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$52,080
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $186k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-566/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (4.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $186k).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $169k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#158 in FL, #2,408 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Gateway Environmental K-8 Learning Center (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,943 of 2,144 statewide, top 91%, 1,355 students, 74% FRL); Homestead Middle School (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #532 of 571 statewide, top 94%, 666 students, 81% FRL); Homestead Senior High School (math 24% / reading 23%, grade F, #533 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 2,020 students, 74% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 615 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $49k; list at $186k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→33/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Homestead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,049/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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