2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,210 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$779/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$223
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$164
Net cashflow
$130/mo
Annual
$1,562/yr
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.18%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.56%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($779 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#533 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Rantoul Township Hsd 193 (town): math 10% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #824 of 919 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Rantoul Twp High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 848 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).
Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.3% in Rantoul — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0Z99MT00DRGJTV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29