12 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,267 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,222/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,798
Tax + insurance
−$1,035
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,147
Net cashflow
$2,242/mo
Annual
$26,905/yr
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.50%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$256,200
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $915k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $747/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $915k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($901k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $901k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $315k; list at $915k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $256k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,222/mo this rent would consume 183% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 4430% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-105R9P8GD15B4Q
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29