1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
400 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,150/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$359
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$435/mo
Annual
$5,225/yr
Cap rate
13.92%
Cash-on-cash
27.24%
DSCR
2.21
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$19,180
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $474 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,180 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Seeley Union Elementary (rural): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #489 of 517 in CA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— standard, could be updated
CashFlowRE · CFR-10FM4SFPSWDA4E
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29