3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
944 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Land
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,494/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$173
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$880
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$73/mo
Annual
$875/yr
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.48%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
4.54%
Cash to close
$9,226
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $33k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($875/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $228 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $988 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E (urban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #56 of 86 in CO (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Stratton Elementary School (math 54% / reading 57%, grade C+, #143 of 966 statewide, top 15%, 286 students, 36% FRL); North Middle School (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #121 of 270 statewide, top 46%, 590 students, 63% FRL); Palmer High School (math 26% / reading 58%, grade F, #155 of 381 statewide, top 42%, 1,384 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 195 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
16 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-10GQZH70XS0EAY
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29