3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,128 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,822/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$432
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$593
Net cashflow
$94/mo
Annual
$1,124/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$90,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (13.1% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $282k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#323 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A-, housing B+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Middle Township Public School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #372 of 472 in NJ (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-10H8H63F4NJS6Q
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29