1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
440 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Other
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$779/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$30
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$164
Net cashflow
$359/mo
Annual
$4,311/yr
Cap rate
18.61%
Cash-on-cash
43.99%
DSCR
2.96
1% rule
2.22%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($779 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (9.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 44/100 on livability (#966 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Bismarck R-V (rural): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #292 of 324 in MO (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (9.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29